Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.102860 0.120889 0.141040 0.165219 0.193431 0.225301 0.264030
2025-11-30 0.076947 0.100412 0.129381 0.167722 0.217090 0.278481 0.360601
2025-12-07 0.061077 0.086244 0.119726 0.167419 0.233509 0.321771 0.448536
2025-12-14 0.049282 0.074286 0.109671 0.163221 0.242044 0.353639 0.523499
2025-12-21 0.041661 0.066466 0.103497 0.162555 0.254130 0.390455 0.608563
2025-12-28 0.037295 0.062584 0.102179 0.168330 0.275740 0.442890 0.722326
2026-01-04 0.033990 0.059732 0.101824 0.175190 0.299406 0.500635 0.850694
2026-01-11 0.030752 0.056419 0.100120 0.179346 0.318795 0.553267 0.976432
2026-01-18 0.027419 0.052394 0.096570 0.179686 0.331427 0.595641 1.089216
2026-01-25 0.023710 0.047113 0.090052 0.173765 0.332031 0.616959 1.167025
2026-02-01 0.020353 0.041990 0.083105 0.166039 0.328157 0.629462 1.229664
2026-02-08 0.018180 0.038859 0.079477 0.164076 0.334720 0.661488 1.331819
2026-02-15 0.015795 0.035093 0.074390 0.159144 0.336037 0.685931 1.426933
2026-02-22 0.014463 0.033359 0.073202 0.162082 0.353790 0.745008 1.599285
2026-03-01 0.013019 0.031148 0.070694 0.161857 0.364879 0.791926 1.752538
2026-03-08 0.011467 0.028436 0.066707 0.157804 0.367115 0.820583 1.870541
2026-03-15 0.010365 0.026600 0.064395 0.157161 0.376735 0.865980 2.030308
2026-03-22 0.009797 0.025967 0.064758 0.162749 0.401265 0.946901 2.279289
2026-03-29 0.009337 0.025532 0.065522 0.169387 0.429090 1.038425 2.563593
2026-04-05 0.008765 0.024718 0.065243 0.173408 0.451092 1.118973 2.831609
2026-04-12 0.008060 0.023432 0.063598 0.173737 0.463960 1.179295 3.057911
2026-04-19 0.007149 0.021433 0.059827 0.168008 0.460631 1.199811 3.188018
2026-04-26 0.006271 0.019383 0.055628 0.160532 0.451726 1.205329 3.280659